GENERAL ELECTION: President Biden and former President Trump formally sealed the Democratic and Republican nominations, respectively, after dominating the primaries in Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington yesterday. Trump also won the Hawaii GOP caucus yesterday. The races were effectively uncontested: All of Trump’s rivals have now dropped out, while Biden’s only opponent was 2020 presidential candidate Marianne Williamson (D), who never gained any traction in the race. “There is no longer any doubt that the fall election will feature a rematch between two flawed and unpopular presidents. At 81, Biden is already the oldest president in U.S. history, while the 77-year-old Trump is facing decades in prison as a defendant in four criminal cases.” This year’s general election will be the first rematch since 1956, and the first between two presidents since 1912. (AP) One slight downside for Trump was that former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (R), who suspended her campaign last week, amassed over 77,000 votes in Georgia. Trump lost the Peach State to Biden by 11,779 votes in 2020. (AP) Anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) has reportedly selected his running mate and will make the decision public within two weeks. Kennedy Jr. has reportedly spoken to former Minnesota Gov. Jesse Ventura (I), former Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA), former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (I-HI), 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang (F), and NFL quarterback Aaron Rodgers, among others. “All have turned him down, or their conversations have not advanced, except for” Rodgers and Ventura, reportedly. (New York Times) Twenty-six states and the District of Columbia require independent candidates to announce their running mates early to qualify for their ballot, per Ballot Access News, forcing Kennedy Jr. to act sooner. (Washington Post) Special counsel Robert Hur defended his report on Biden’s handling of classified documents, and his decision to not recommend criminal charges against the president, during his cross-examination in Congress yesterday. “We did not … identify evidence that rose to the level of proof beyond a reasonable doubt,” Hur told House lawmakers during yesterday’s hearing. “Because that evidence fell short of that standard, I declined to recommend criminal charges against Mr. Biden.” Politics, rather than legal issues, dominated the hearing, as it “strayed from the legal minutiae of Hur’s investigation and into a back-and-forth between Republican and Democratic members as to whose presidential candidate was mentally unfit to be commander in chief.” (National Journal) DEMOCRATS: Biden will visit Milwaukee today, where he will highlight how his bipartisan infrastructure law from 2021 helped “to convert a 2.6-mile section of Sixth Street to a ‘complete street.’” This is all part of Biden’s plan to highlight the economic impact of policies like the bipartisan infrastructure law that he signed in 2021. (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel) The Biden campaign will base its Wisconsin operations this year in Milwaukee, “the first time a Democratic presidential nominee has made the state's largest city a state campaign headquarters in at least two decades. Biden campaign officials said Tuesday the move to center efforts in Milwaukee reflects the campaign's focus on Black and Latino voters and suburban women in the Milwaukee area.” (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel) COLORADO: Rep. Ken Buck (R-04) announced he will resign from Congress on March 22, despite previously announcing he would retire at the end of his term. (release) Gov. Jared Polis (D) announced the special election to fill Buck’s seat will be held on June 25, the same day as the regularly scheduled primary. Buck’s sudden departure means Speaker Mike Johnson’s “majority could shrink to a single vote by April if New York voters, as expected, choose a Democrat to replace former Rep. Brian Higgins (D) in a Buffalo-area seat. That would further complicate any challenge to pass legislation that has unified Democratic opposition. … Buck’s early exit” could complicate Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R-03) path to reelection as well. Boebert announced in December that she would cross the state and run in Buck’s seat, a safely red district. But the timing of the special election “throws a wrench into her chances of winning the race in November. A GOP committee will choose the party’s nominee for the special election, and it’s unclear Boebert would be selected.” (National Journal) In CO-05, Trump endorsed state GOP Chairman Dave Williams to succeed retiring Rep. Doug Lamborn (R). Williams previously challenged Lamborn in 2022. (Truth Social) Johnson endorsed 2006 candidate Jeff Crank (R). (Twitter) RACE FOR THE HOUSE: Three outside groups endorsed Democratic incumbents and challengers, according to news first shared with Hotline. Defend the Vote, an outside group backing candidates who support “pro-democracy” reforms such as protecting voting rights and “ending dark money,” endorsed 12 Frontline Democrats. The group endorsed Reps. Jahana Hayes (CT-05), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Eric Sorensen (IL-17), Frank Mrvan (IN-01), Hillary Scholten (MI-03), Angie Craig (MN-02), Chris Pappas (NH-01), Gabe Vasquez (NM-02), Susie Lee (NV-03), Pat Ryan (NY-18), Emilia Sykes (OH-13), and Susan Wild (PA-07). (Hotline reporting) Democrats Serve, an outside group backing candidates with public service backgrounds, endorsed former state Rep. Amish Shah (D) in AZ-01, 2022 IA-01 nominee Christina Bohannan (D), former Agriculture Department official Lanon Baccam (D) in IA-03, former New Jersey Working Families Party Director Sue Altman (D) in NJ-07, and 2022 PA-01 nominee Ashley Ehasz (D). Democrats Serve also endorsed candidates in competitive primaries: former Justice Department official Shomari Figures (D), who’s in an April runoff for AL-02, Baltimore County Executive Johnny Olszewski (D) in MD-02, state Del. Joe Vogel (D) in MD-06, and Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz (D) in WA-06. (Hotline reporting) Tomorrow’s Jobs, a group that supports candidates with entrepreneurial backgrounds, endorsed Altman, Franz, Shah, and Vogel for their work in the nonprofit sector. (Hotline reporting) NEW YORK: Since her narrow victory in 2022, Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) has sought to improve her political stature by helping Democrats flip House seats in New York. Democrats blamed Hochul for the party’s disappointing performance in the state in 2022, as she didn’t acknowledge the crime issue in New York until late in the election. This year, her strategy “involves a full-throated support for abortion rights, a tougher line on immigration and withering attacks on Republicans” while also boosting fundraising and staffing for the state party. Republicans, including Conference Chair Elise Stefanik, say Hochul will be featured in ads against Democratic candidates this year, pointing to her “failed leadership.” (Politico) AZ SEN: The NRSC will “stump and fundraise” for 2022 GOV nominee Kari Lake (R) in Maricopa County, Arizona on April 1. The committee will also “ help Lake pay for internal polling and her field program, which includes get-out-the-vote programs.” The party sees Arizona “as one of their top opportunities to gain a Senate seat in November, prompting every corner of the party to coalesce around Lake, despite her controversial past.” (Axios) Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) endorsed Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) in the race. (KTAR) UT SEN: Rep. John Curtis (R-03) “started a climate caucus on Capitol Hill. He attended a global climate summit in Dubai a few months ago. He’s often touting the advantages of clean energy. It’s the kind of thing you’d expect from a liberal lawmaker hailing from a blue state.” But Curtis represents ruby-red Utah and is running to replace retiring Sen. Mitt Romney (R). “You won’t mistake the 63-year-old former Provo mayor as a tree-hugging acolyte of the Green New Deal. He still talks about the need for a balanced energy portfolio that includes oil and gas. But he’s steadfastly built a record of clean-energy advocacy during his more than six years in Congress.” (National Journal) CALIFORNIA: Garden Grove Councilwoman Kim Nguyen-Penaloza (D) cut consumer-rights attorney Derek Tran’s (D) lead for second place to just 200 votes following a significant vote drop Tuesday. Rep. Michelle Steel (R-45) advanced to the November election last week. 7% of the vote remains outstanding. (AP) In CA-09, an NRCC poll (Feb. 18-20; 400 LVs; +/-4.9%) conducted by NMB Research found Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (R) and Rep. Josh Harder (D) statistically tied. Lincoln was at 44% and Harder was at 40%. The pair advanced to the general election in November without much of a fight. (Washington Examiner) NC GOV: A Cygnal poll for the conservative Carolina Journal (March 6-7; 600 LVs; +/-3.9%) found Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R) leading state Attorney General Josh Stein (D), 44%-39%. 15% were undecided. (Carolina Journal) OH SEN: Undecided voters dominated a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll (March 7-10; 1,300 RVs; +/-2.6%) less than a week before the March 19 primary. 2022 candidate Matt Dolan (R) barely led the field with 26%, followed by 2022 candidate Bernie Moreno (R) at 23%, and Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) at 16%. 32% of voters were undecided. In hypothetical head-to-head matchups with Sen. Sherrod Brown (D), the senator led Dolan, 37%-34%. Brown led Moreno, 39%-34%, and he led LaRose, 39%-33% (release) IN GOV: “The claws are coming out in the Indiana governor's race. At the first debate of the six-way Republican primary competition held in Carmel Monday night, candidates took digs at one another for the first time after a docile start to the evening.” Sen. Mike Braun (R), the frontrunner of the race according to public polling, “took the brunt of the attacks,” particularly from former commerce Secretary Brad Chambers (R) and former Attorney General Curtis Hill (R). “Chambers issued the first dig of the evening halfway through the debate by questioning Braun's record in the Senate as a fiscal conservative.” Hill also leveled the most direct attack on Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch (R) and term-limited Gov. Eric Holcomb’s (R) administration, particularly for his handling of the COVID pandemic. (Indianapolis Star) NJ SEN: The leading Republicans in the race to challenge embattled Sen. Bob Menendez (D) will have their first debate on April 3. The candidates include developer Curtis Bashaw (R), Mendham Mayor Christine Serrano Glassner (R), and former reporter Alex Zdan (R). (New Jersey Globe) |