TN-07 SPECIAL: “Rep. Mark Green’s (R) surprise resignation announcement tees up another barometric test for Democrats as they look to put a check on President Trump and flip the House in the midterms.” Democrats have performed well this year in special elections, generating some enthusiasm for the Nashville area seat that went to Trump by about 20 points. In a low turnout election with high-propensity voters, a group that favors the Democratic Party, Democrats stand a chance for an upset. State Reps. Vincent Dixie (D), Bo Mitchell (D), and Clarksville Mayor Joe Pitts (D) are possible contenders. Montgomery County Commissioner Jason Knight (R) launched a bid yesterday. Per state law, Gov. Bill Lee (R) must announce a special election within 10 days of the vacancy. Green says he will leave once Republicans pass the Senate’s budget bill, expected in early July. The process can follow two timelines, with the general election occurring between 100 to 107 days after the proclamation or 130 to 135 days after. (Hotline reporting) DEMOCRATS: Former DNC Vice Chair David Hogg opted “not to run again for vice chair after DNC members voted to hold a re-vote for the job.” The party approved a procedural challenge to the Feb. 1 leadership elections in a 294-99 vote. Hogg stirred controversy in the party when the New York Times reported that his PAC, Leaders We Deserve, would spend millions on primary challenges to incumbents. (Semafor) Hogg wrote in a letter: “I came into this role to play a positive role in creating the change our party needs. It is clear that there is a fundamental disagreement about the role of a Vice Chair—and it’s OK to have disagreements. What isn’t OK is allowing this to remain our focus when there is so much more we need to be focused on.” (New York Times) VA GOV: “Many Republicans are concerned about an enthusiasm gap as national Democrats pour money and attention on Virginia’s off-year elections” while Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R) declines to campaign with the top of the Republican ticket. “Her style of campaigning has been heavy on small and private events or public appearances with little media coverage—not a typical approach for a candidate trailing in fundraising.” (Washington Post) WHITE HOUSE: Vice President JD Vance and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles reportedly called former Trump adviser Elon Musk Friday to urge him “to put an end to the public feud.” (Wall Street Journal) Trump and Musk spoke over the phone late Monday night. The president told reporters: “I really haven’t thought too much about it.” (New York Times) NH SEN: Attorney Philip Taub (R) is considering a run to replace retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D). Taub told Hotline in a statement that he sees the Senate as “another opportunity to serve” the Granite State, and would “take the next couple months to meet and talk with a lot more people in [New Hampshire] before making a final decision.” Taub, a longtime state GOP donor, briefly considered running against Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) in 2022, but ultimately passed on a bid. (Hotline reporting) ME SEN: 2024 nominee David Costello (D) is launching a campaign against Sen. Susan Collins (R). Costello, in a statement, said Collins “has done little” to challenge the Trump administration “aside from expressing concern.” Costello challenged Sen. Angus King (I) last year, only garnering 11% of the vote. (Portland Press Herald) IL SEN: Illinois Alliance of Boys & Girls Clubs CEO Awisi Bustos (D) entered the crowded Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin (D). Bustos is former Rep. Cheri Bustos’ (D) daughter-in-law, but is currently in the middle of a divorce. Cheri Bustos said in a statement that she and her family are “not supportive” of Awisi Bustos’ run. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton (D) and Reps. Robin Kelly (D-02) and Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-08) are running in the primary. (Punchbowl News) KS GOV: State Sen. Cindy Holscher (D) announced her bid to replace term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly (D). “While a handful of big-name and longshot Republicans have declared for the GOP field,” including Secretary of State Scott Schwab (R) and former Gov. Jeff Colyer (R), “no major Democratic candidates” had yet declared. (Topeka Capital-Journal) MI-07: Michigan State University professor Josh Cowen (D) “is exploring a run” for Congress against Rep. Tom Barrett (R). Cowen is an education policy professor at MSU; his “research has focused on teacher quality, education politics, and school choice.” He recently met with state party leaders and the DCCC. Former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink (D) is considering a run, and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam (D) “is taking steps to run.” (Detroit News) FL GOV: A poll from the GOP firm Victory Insights (June 7-10; 600 LVs) found Rep. Byron Donalds (R-19) leading former Rep. David Jolly (D) 36.7%-31.4%, with 31.9% undecided. (release) GA SEN: An internal poll (June 8-10; 970 LVs; +/-3%) conducted for Rep. Buddy Carter (R-01) found him at 27%, Rep. Mike Collins (R-10) at 18%, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R) at 10%, and Insurance Commissioner John King (R) at 2%. 43% undecided in a hypothetical GOP primary matchup. If no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the primary, a runoff election is triggered. Carter and King are currently running against Sen. Jon Ossoff (D). (NOTUS) RACE FOR THE HOUSE: The House is set to vote on a $9.4 billion recission package that cuts global aid and public broadcasting, funds Congress already approved. No one “has confirmed they plan to vote against it,” but Reps. David Valadao (R-CA 22), Don Bacon (R-NE 02), and Rob Bresnahan (R-PA 08) have expressed concerns about some of the cuts. (Politico) |